Monday, June 21, 2010

Blackjack experts have a fit with truth

While dealing craps in the late 1970's at Reno/Lake Tahoe casinos was fun, sometimes dealing blackjack was forced upon craps dealers. Blackjack players blame the dealer for losing while the shooter takes the wrath at the craps table. Today, some blackjack players are still miserable and wind up card counting by learning on internet sites. A grouch called QFIT (Norm Wattenberger) pushes card counter software that can cost hundreds of dollars and is allowed to spam on blackjack sites. A dinosaur named Don Schlesinger does not know the difference between a lunch counter and a card counter is "respected" on blackjack message boards. This dynamic duo has led thousands of wannnabe card counters to slaughter who use ace-reckoned counts such as the hi-lo count in the movie "21" and resistance is met with slander.

The readers of this Casino Examiner blog know the truth and they are set free, if they choose. In the 1966 edition of Edward O. Thorp's "Beat The Dealer", Julian Braun admitted to not taking out the 7,8,9's while taking out 2,3,4,5,6's in his computer work regarding the High-Low count. The overlay of 7,8,9's causes the dealer to bust more often and our double downs on 10/11's are improved. This error by Braun in the amount of percentage added to the card counter is not stated by him or by the "trillions" of sims by others since his admission. I'd bet it is more than a "slight error".

The mean spirited Schlesinger (the dinosaur) wrote on advantageplayer.com, "You're delusional. Braun admitted the error, corrected his work, and, everyone on planet earth moved on, except you, who are living in the Stone Age. Do you think that today's software and methodologies are perpetuating Braun's mistake, or do you think that, 30 years later, we have learned to do it correctly. I'm wasting my time writing this, but you need to go away and crawl back into your hole."
Don

Writing from the bunker here at Casino Examiner and giving headaches to the established card counter world is satisfying since mathematics is our dogma. So when a "respected" 21 expert is caught with his hand in the cookie jar, insults over substance rule the day.

Wattenberger/QFIT also has a fit when the hi-lo count is challenged by your Casino Examiner by saying on advantageplayer.com, "As for the math, it has been explained to you hundreds of times, and you have posted this exact same message hundreds of times. That's why you keep getting barred from sites. Not because of your false accusations of fraud, but because you keep posting the exact same message, over and over and over. Hundreds of times. We have read it. What is the point of posting something no one agrees with one more time?"

The Casino Examiner Moviemakerjjcasino YouTube site has received close to 200k views and some viewers agree with the message that the development of the established card counts such as Hi-Lo and KO are not as forthcoming as advertised. The accusation of posting the "exact message" hundreds of times is just another falsehood from the blackjack computer software spam king QFIT. The Casino Examiner is welcome on all blackjack sites except the site where QFIT peddles his Casino Verite software on Ken Smith's blackjackinfo.com message board. The truth is bad for QFIT's software business and slandering your Casino Examiner after receiving a headache from him is transparent to the readers of this blog.

Monday, June 7, 2010

Why blackjack card counters lose

Everywhere you look when trying to beat the casinos at blackjack, the hi-lo count rears its ugly head. The movie "21" in 2008 accelerated this count to the masses. Almost every book published since 1966 recommends this strategy. The internet is infested with 2-6=+1, 10-A=-1. A can't miss count presumably. It can be argued that hi-lo cannot detect blackjacks and insurance. Since aces and tens are counted together, the probability of predicting blackjacks that correspond with the count is impossible. All aces gone in a single deck game (Reno rules) with a +2 count at 1/4 deck played is a almost a 2% disadvantage with the 2.4% deduction from blackjacks. More aces played than normal can do serious harm to the player. Conversely, an even count with no aces seen at 39 cards left, blackjacks will increase from the 4.83% off the top to 6.47%! The hi-lo player missed out on this positive situation. In insurance instances, hi-lo strikes out due to aces being counted as high cards.

A calculator was used to confirm these numbers, not a computer simulator. After Edward O. Thorp's "Beat The Dealer" in 1962, the casinos panicked. Something had to be done. More decks were added to confuse the Ten Count player. The 1966 revised edition of "Beat The Dealer" introduced Harvey Dubner's High/Low count. Julian Braun of the IBM corporation did the faulty computer work that has fooled the masses since. The mob controlled casinos were happy. Card counters bought the half truths hook, line, and sinker. Casino consultant/blackjack expert Stanford Wong "fixed" the overlay of 7,8,9's from Braun's "mistake"in his 1975 book "Professional Blackjack" with yet another computer sim. Wong and other "recognized" blackjack authorities relied on sims for their results and condemn the mathematics when challenged to this day.